Climate in Arkansas Arkansas, Arkansas gets 51 inches of rain, on average, per year. This video and related map images can also be accessed at https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/us-winter-outlook-warmer-drier-south-with-ongoing-la-nina. The La Nia phase is projected to weaken during the second half of the winter, which may open the door for storms to take a more southerly track into California, rather than focusing on the Pacific Northwest and western Canada. This once-in-a-lifetime eruption was so powerful that it sent shockwaves around the world and caused the amount of water vapor in the stratosphere to increase by around 5%, according to a recent report by The Associated Press. Because a weak La Nia means that the forcing from the Pacific is weaker than normal, it may imply other mechanisms (e.g. This will be the general track for storm systems this season. The MJO can produce impacts similar to those of ENSO, but which appear only in weekly averages before changing, rather than persisting and therefore appearing in seasonal averages as is the case for ENSO. Plan for hazardous to dangerous travel overnight and a slower than normal Thursday morning commute. Winter (December-February) precipitation during strong, moderate, and weak La Nias since 1950 (Winter 2017-18 not included), Midwest La Nia Winter Winter (DJF) PrecipitationDepartures(24 Winters since 1949-50), Author:Stephen Baxter(November 21, 2017). 54, No. (2015b) for more details. Severe weather as a whole decreases across the U.S. during the winter months, but it can still be disastrous across the Southeast during this time of year. Temperature Forecast Normal Avg High Temps 50 to 60 Avg Low Temps 20 to 35 Avg High Temps 5 to 15 Avg Low Temps -5 to 5 Rain Frequency 2 to 4 days Click or Tap on any day for a detailed forecast. No one likes ice. Lett. Thresholds have been set with impacts in mind and are subject to adjustment in the future as analysis continues. Flannel, hot chocolate and snowshoes are in the winter forecast from the Farmers' Almanac, which is predicting a shivery 2022-2023 winter for most of the United States. Daily Forecast Calendar Forecast Detailed Forecast Nov December 2022 Jan December 2022 Summary Precipitation Forecast Average Precipitation Temperature Forecast Normal Avg High Temps 45 to 55 Avg Low Temps 20 to 35 Avg High Temps 5 to 15 Avg Low Temps -5 to 5 La Nias typically occur every 3 to 7 years. J. There can be multiple MJO events within a season, and so the MJO is best described asintraseasonaltropical climate variability (i.e. So, unlike ENSO, which is stationary, the MJO is aneastward movingdisturbance of clouds, rainfall, winds, and pressure that traverses the planet in the tropics and returns to its initial starting point in 30 to 60 days, on average. . Conversely, AO's negative phase has higher-than-average air pressure over the Arctic region and lower-than-average pressure over the northern Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. Precipitation Plotter The recent weakening of the trade winds suggests below-average SSTs may be near their minimum, though considerable uncertainty remains over how gradually the anomalies will decay. 60-70% of La Nia winters in the past have brought more snowfall to Arkansas. Weaker events appear to be associated with more widespread above-average snow over the northern United States. As students were heading back to the classroom for the start of the new school year, New York City School Chancellor David C. Banks announced that there will be no snow days during the 2022-2023 academic year, NBC News reported. The US average is 205 sunny days. Climate.gov drawing by Fiona Martin. "These third-year La Nias are very tricky," Pastelok said, with no two La Nia winters being exactly the same. NOAA Climate.gov drawing by Fiona Martin. This seasonal U.S. Drought Outlook map to the right is for November 2022 through January 2023 and predicts persistent widespread drought across much of the West, the Great Basin, and the central-to-southern Great Plains. Rainfall will be near normal in the north and above normal in the south, with the best threats for snow in the north from late december into. Old farmer's almanac winter 2021 2022 old farmer's almanac winter 2021 2022. Will it be a harsh winter for your area? National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration During particularly prolonged periods dominated by one particular phase of the NAO, abnormal height and temperature patterns are also often seen extending well into central Russia and north-central Siberia. All NOAA, A winter storm will track northeast across the region this evening into Thursday, bringing snow, heavy at times. The years are ranked by how far below average the temperatures were in the central/eastern tropical Pacific: strong (at least -1.5 Celsius colder than average), moderate (between -1 and -1.5C), and weak (between -0.5 and -1C colder-than-average). The most recent IRI plume forecast of the Nio-3.4 SST index indicates La Nia will persist into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2022-23, and then transition to ENSO-neutral in February-April 2023[Fig. Madden R. and P. Julian, 1972: Description of global-scale circulation cells in the tropics with a 40-50 day period. Observations December 31, 2014. Winter (December-February) temperature during strong, moderate, and weak La Nias since 1950 (Winter 2017-18 not included), Midwest La Nia Winter (DJF) Average Temperature Departures(24 Winters since 1949-50), Author:Tom Di Liberto(October 12, 2017). All of the latest weekly Nio index values were near -1.0C, with the exception of Nio-1+2 which was at -1.8C[Fig. As the calendar turned to December, the storm track shifted northward, directing the rain and mountain snow toward Washington and British Columbia, Canada. Unlock AccuWeather Alerts with Premium+. Barbara Mayes Boustead, NOAA/NWS, Valley, NE; and S. Hilberg, M. D. Shulski, and K. G. Hubbard. Hazards of a differentand more traditionally winter varietycould alsodevelop this season. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. Winter brings many ups and downs. Snowstorms will occur at times this winter. Winter Thoughts #1 - Our First Look at the Winter of 2022 - 2023! Temperatures throughout the final month of 2022 are forecast to run about 3 degrees Fahrenheit above normal across part of the nation's midsection, including areas around Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. Other climate phenomena, such as the Arctic Oscillation or the Madden Julian Oscillation, as well as the random nature of weather, can also play a large part in how winter turns out. The 2022-2023 winter season may have record-breaking cold temperatures of 40 degrees below zero in some places in the US! Realtime MJO information that is updated daily or weekly can be found on the NOAA CPCMJO webpage. Station / Location Info Global Warming Begins at the Poles - Ends at the Poles 2022-2024 Antarctic Winter of 2022 - Coldest on Record Arctic 2022 Summer - Coldest on Record Whatever your #DressCode, there are 3 ITEMS I recommend every -5NEWS Chief Meteorologist Matt Standridge, RELATED: Winter, yay or nay? Madden R. and P. Julian, 1971: Detection of a 40-50 day oscillation in the zonal wind in the tropical Pacific,J. Atmos. The global Winter Sports industry report provides top-notch qualitative and quantitative information including: Market size (2017-2021 value and 2022 forecast). Overall, rainfall evened out to within one to two inches of normal. The changes in spring (March-May) are similar to those during winter, but somewhat weaker. "Unfortunately, we have bad news as far as the drought goes in parts of California, Nevada and the Southwest," Pastelok said. Dispatch / Law Enforcement Viewed from above either pole, these patterns show a characteristic ring-shape or "annular" pattern; thus, AO and AAO are also referred to as the Northern Annular Mode (NAM) and Southern Annular Mode (SAM), respectively. Indeed, historic tornado outbreaks in1974,2008,and2011started during La Nia conditions. Although 2022 couldn't come close to the robust number of deals announced in 2021, it was on par with previous years with more than 1,070 VC-backed startups Derek Groff, ASA en LinkedIn: Forecast: Startup M&A Could Pick Up In 2023 As Fundraising Tightens Further Precipitation tends to be below-average across the southern tier of the United States and wetter than average across the Pacific Northwest and Ohio Valley. Wallace, 2001: Regional Climate Impacts of the Northern Hemisphere Annular Mode. There is above-normal snowfall around the Pacific basin and below-normal snowfall around the Atlantic basin. Pastelok added that if the water in the Gulf of Mexico and along the Atlantic coast remain warmer than usual, there is the chance for a "potentially big system" to develop during the second half of the winter that could impact the East Coast. In the northern Plains, this can result in AccuWeather RealFeel Temperatures plummeting toward 50 degrees below zero. Stronger cold fronts? Arkansas 14 Day Extended Forecast Time/General Weather Time Zone DST Changes Sun & Moon Weather Today Weather Hourly 14 Day Forecast Yesterday/Past Weather Climate (Averages) Currently: 47 F. "With the new technology that we have -- that's one of the good things that came out of COVID -- if a snow day comes around, we want to make sure that our kids continue to learn. By UnofficialNet | August 6, 2022 10:34 am ET. Climate Variability: Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), Author:Jon Gottschalck Freezing rain, drizzle and sleet is in the forecast, and a winter weather advisory is in effect for Anne Arundel County from 6 a.m. until 2 p.m. Friday. Its fairly trivial to break the sample size in half and compare the temperature patterns for the older half to the more recent half. This is lower than last winter when there were four occasions on which snow accumulated across the region. A wave of chilly air swept across the Northeast and Midwest just in time for the arrival of astronomical autumn, which started on Sept. 22, but the arrival of astronomical winter on Dec. 21 may not start in a similar fashion. Sports; VERIFY . 31,038 views May 21, 2022 669 Dislike Share Save Direct Weather 177K subscribers Join this. Precipitation was largely subpar from June through October. The firm predicts temperatures that are normal to slightly below normal. Winter Weather Safety. Pastelok said that February is the month to watch for the polar vortex to usher in brutally cold Arctic air across the Rockies and most of the central U.S. and, in response, cause the energy demand across the regions to surge. Outside of that region, New England is one of the only areas east of the Rocky Mountains where snowfall could end up being above normal. Widespread above-average snow over the northern Plains, this can result in AccuWeather RealFeel temperatures plummeting toward degrees. 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